Energy transition

Offshore wind

Turbines far out at sea, turning strong, steady wind into electricity at vast scale. A contracted, capital-heavy generator: a multi-billion build, funded by project finance, selling generation under a CfD or long PPA at a price guaranteed for decades. Pick a real example below and trace it from the development through the model to a working returns model.

In focus ·
Example

Drag the sliders to see what earns the money: the capacity in megawatts, the power price (with the CfD / PPA strike behind it), and the capacity factor as the rotors spin.

Capacity
Generation
Generation revenue
contracted revenue p.a.
EBITDA p.a.

01

What it is & how it works

02

How it earns

Model A · contracted & capital-heavy

A contracted, capital-heavy generator

Offshore wind is the generation layer: hundreds of turbines standing on the seabed, cabled to an offshore substation and brought ashore by a subsea export cable. The business is distinctive: the asset is capital-heavy (roughly £3–4.5m per MW, far above onshore), so most of the value is the multi-billion build. In return it sells generation (capacity × hours × capacity factor) under a CfD or long PPA that fixes the price at a strike, inflation-linked, for decades. So the revenue is contracted and price-insulated, the fuel is free, and the O&M, while higher than onshore, leaves a very wide margin. The capex is funded by project finance, a high slug of debt against the contracted offtake, which is why the unlevered return is modest but the levered, equity return is real. It scales: every new phase adds another long, contracted, capital-heavy generator at sea.

03

What it costs, and how it's financed

Revenue → operating costs → EBITDAMargin

The capital · the multi-billion build
Project financinghigh leverage

    History & framework · key milestones
      04

      Cash flows & returns

      Build & capex

      m
      m
      %
      %

      Revenue regime & tax

      m
      m
      %
      ×

      Financing & hold

      ×
      %
      %
      y
      Unlevered IRR
      asset / project return
      Levered IRR
      return to equity
      Equity multiple
      MOIC over hold
      Payback
      project, undiscounted
      Cash-flow profile, equity invested   returned
      Show the year-by-year schedule
      05

      What drives the return

        See also the Offshore wind cash-flow simulator, a live model of contracted vs merchant revenue, and the Cash-flow & DCF model.