Energy & Utilities

Gas distribution

The last mile of the gas system — the local network that takes gas from the transmission grid at a city gate and delivers it, street by street, to every home and business. A regulated monopoly that earns a return on its asset base, decoupled from how much gas flows — but with a long-run question over its future. Pick a real network below and follow it through the town, the model and a working returns model.

In focus ·
Example

Drag the sliders to see what earns the regulated revenue — the asset base and the allowed return, not how much gas flows.

£9bn
Regulated asset base
Connections
Return on RAB
allowed return × RAB
Allowed revenue p.a.
return + depreciation + opex

01

What it is & how it works

02

How it earns

Model A · the regulated building block

Return on a Regulated Asset Base

A gas distribution network is a local natural monopoly, so it doesn't charge a market price — a regulator sets its allowed revenue (recovered through distribution charges). The building blocks are the same the world over: a return on the asset base (the RAB or rate base) at an allowed cost of capital; recovery of depreciation; an opex allowance; and incentives. The revenue is decoupled from how much gas flows — and the RAB grows with mains-replacement and connection capex. The twist unique to gas is the terminal value: whether the network decarbonises (hydrogen) or declines as heating electrifies.

03

What it costs, and how it's financed

Allowed revenue → operating costs → EBITDAMargin

The capital stack
Who bears the costallocation

    History & regulation · key milestones
      04

      Cash flows & returns

      Build & operating

      m
      m
      %
      %

      Revenue regime & tax

      m
      m
      %
      ×

      Financing & hold

      ×
      %
      %
      y
      Unlevered IRR
      asset / project return
      Levered IRR
      return to equity
      Equity multiple
      MOIC over hold
      Payback
      project, undiscounted
      Cash-flow profile — equity invested   returned
      Show the year-by-year schedule
      05

      What drives the return

        See also the standalone gas distribution (RAB) simulation and the Cash-flow & DCF model.